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Iran's President Watches Different Branches of the Armed
Forces at a Military Parade Marking the 25th Anniversary of the Iran-Iraq War
(1980-1988) last Thursday.
— UNITED NATIONS VIDEO: Iranian President Ahmadinejad's Speech to the
U.N. General Assembly [Condi Walks Out], Sept. 17, 00:29:07
— NPR AUDIO NEWS: Iran Threatens to Retaliate Against Those that Voted Against it at IAEA, Sept. 27, 00:03:50
U.S., Israel Headed to War With Iran
With the U.S. unwilling - apparently ever - to deal directly with Tehran, strong Israeli pressure to eliminate all remaining strategic threats to its existence, and little hope of Iran giving up the nuclear fuel cycle, the op-ed article from Lebanon's Dar Al-Hayat explains, can mean only one thing: devesation.
Dar Al-Hayat - Original
September 27, 2005
The 'Supreme Leader' Watches Troops
Of all the scenarios the United States is carefully examining for dealing with the Iranian
nuclear issue, the only viable one seems to be a strike against its nuclear
plants. But this is a costly and difficult choice, with no guarantee that
it could be finished and contained quickly and efficiently enough.
One of America's permanent "No's" is direct negotiations with Iran. Judging by previous experience, such a boycott
can only end with war, as it is a boycott between a hegemonic country and
a former proxy that rebelled against it. There is no way for such a situation
to correct itself until the hegemonic state returns to its comforts zone.
The United States has not recognized the changes that have occurred
in Iran over the past quarter of a century, and despite
its caution, Iran managed to open a new page of derision with the "Great Satan." having
been labeled a charter member of the "Axis of Evil."
A Likely Target of Any U.S.-Led Attack on Iran: The
Reactor at Bushehr [See Video Below]
While it mulls its plan of attack, which
would certainly be of longer duration than its 2003 Iraq campaign, concern
over the reaction of Iran's population means Washington is unlikely to
consider occupation with American troops, something that was not as much
of a concern in the case of Iraq. While the U.S. thinks, it costs nothing to push their European
pawns, who rushed into the game without knowing it would lead nowhere,
to negotiate with Tehran.
Iran's problem is that since its rebirth as the "Islamic Republic," it has
failed to win acceptance. When it adopted a policy of "exporting the revolution" on
the eve of Ayatollah Khomeini's victory, it was completely rejected. Even
under the pragmatism of Rafsanjani and after the rise of Khatamism [rule
by reformist President Khatami], it could not improve its situation and
Iran's problem is that it is viewed as an overweening "Arab State," but it is actually quite different. The Persian State has not forgotten its humiliation when the entire world treated it
as an outcast the day Saddam Hussein's jets and rockets began pounding
its cities. The nuclear option has become its strategic response, but its
intransigence may lead to the same fate.
Another of Iran's problems are the rivals it has accumulated during
the 1980s, when it extended the tentacles of terrorism in more than one
direction. When Iran tried to clean up its act, it didn't recoup many
friends. Had it not been for the rise in oil prices, it would have been
unable to build even the modest beneficial relations it has nurtured in
The issue of the right to control the
nuclear fuel cycle for "peaceful purposes" would not have caused a crisis
if the country concerned was Canada, Brazil or South Africa, for example, but in the case of Iran it signifies danger.
Israel's Global Influence in 1948 (right) in 2005
(left) [From Alittihad, U.A.E].
One of the most serious justifications
for the Iraq War was that while the terrorism on 9/11 came from a marginal
extremist group, the next act of terror is likely to come from countries
with weapons of mass destruction.
For that reason, when the issue of a potential
Iranian "bomb" arose, Western opposition to the United States subsided, even from France. But because they fear another war, the Europeans
undertook to resolve the crisis diplomatically. Nevertheless, they failed
to negotiate well or, a better explanation would be, they were quite naïve
to believe that they could convince Iran to give up its project for mere economic promises.
Just as with Saddam, there is no doubt
that the George Bush Administration has already taken the decision concerning Iran. But the difference is that after years of sanctions
and decay, Iraq was ready to fall. And even then, it required a
load of fabrications, exaggerations and lies to "sell" the Iraq War to
the American people.
Another big difference is that in the
case of Iran, there is a dearth of information, with the exception
of what Israel has tried to inject as enticement for the military
The final distinction is that now because
of the daily carnage in Iraq, we all know the meaning of the word "aftermath." From
now on, no matter how necessary a particular war seems to be, this will
no doubt be fully taken into account. Nobody wants more Iraqs.
Then there is the Security Council option,
and the hope that sanctions will somehow cause the Iranian regime to buckle.
But are sanctions really enough to halt their nuclear project? It might
be enough if one were awaiting the completion of a credible military option,
but only after taking a number of steps, the most important of which would
be reducing America's military presence in Iraq to what is "necessary," eradicating
the danger of Hezbollah weapons in Lebanon, and of course, the further
embellishment of Israel's image to make Washington appear like an even-handed
country carrying out a mission in Iran on the world's behalf.
But some of these steps can't be completed
quickly enough for them to succeed. Following Iran's deep infiltration of the "new Iraq," and the urgency in Israel to continue what began in Iraq: a drive to defeat all of Israel's strategic threats … additional devastation in
the region seems inevitable.
VIDEO FROM THE MUSLIM WORLD: STUDENTS
FORM HUMAN CHAIN AROUND REACTOR
Iranian TV: Iranian University Students Form "Human Chain" Around Nuclear Facilities in Esfahan, August 16, 00:03:32, MEMRI
"They say: Give them the fish, not the hook. Now we have
built the hook, and they are upset."
Human Chain Around Nuclear Facilites
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